Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualAngela Rayner is not Prime Minister at the end of 2026 99%Líder entre 6 opções
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado15/05/26, 13:10 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Combined conditional market on Rayner becoming PM and who she picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if she does.
- Please only add Labour MPs as options.
- (Use the "Other" option if you think a non-Labour MP (other than Burnham) might get the job.) I don't think there are any circumstances under which this market can resolve NA.
- If you have an edge case that I haven't covered in the small print, please let me know.
- Resolves to "Current Role Holder" on this page:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/chancellor-of-the-exchequer
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- € 135,2 mil
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- December 15,+3.5pt90%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be Angela Rayner's Chancellor at the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Angela Rayner is not Prime Minister at the end of 2026 em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be Angela Rayner's Chancellor at the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Who will be Angela Rayner's Chancellor at the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Who will be Angela Rayner's Chancellor at the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Combined conditional market on Rayner becoming PM and who she picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if she does.