Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
One-OffMacro e economiaRegulamentaçãoEuropa29d
KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Mansion Tax Increase · —
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Preço registado
Mansion Tax Increase 51%Líder entre 5 opções
Mansion Tax Increase 51%Qualidade do mercado
28 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
2,6 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
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Mansion Tax IncreaseSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 minutos
19/08/26, 14:00 UTC1/12/26, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
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- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Mansion Tax Increase
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KalshiRegras
If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in the High Value Council Tax Surcharge or a reduction in its £2 million entry threshold before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. No market resolves on whether a measure is called a "wealth tax." Each market names one specific measure and resolves only on that measure, whatever it is named. A measure set out in the Chancellor's Budget statement or in the Budget documents published by HM Treasury qualifies, and it need not be legislated or in force before Dec 1, 2026. Measures announced by the Scottish or Welsh governments or the Northern Ireland Executive do NOT count. An announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval Retraction of previously announced commitments Each market resolves on any announcement meeting its description, with no minimum size: Capital Gains Tax Rise: an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax, even if another main rate is reduced Mansion Tax Increase: an increase in the charges of the High Value Council Tax Surcharge, or a reduction in its entry threshold Inheritance Tax Rise: an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of a relief or exemption Annual Wealth Tax: a new annual tax on total net wealth above a threshold. A one-off levy or a tax on a single asset class does NOT qualify Council Tax Replacement: replacing council tax or stamp duty land tax with an annual property or land value tax
Regras de cada resultado
- Mansion Tax Increase
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in the High Value Council Tax Surcharge or a reduction in its £2 million entry threshold before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Inheritance Tax Rise
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in any rate of inheritance tax, or a revenue-raising restriction of an inheritance tax relief or exemption before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Council Tax Replacement
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces the replacement of council tax or stamp duty land tax with an annual property or land value tax before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Annual Wealth Tax
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces a new annual tax charged on the total net wealth of individuals above a threshold before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Capital Gains Tax Rise
- If the United Kingdom agrees to or announces an increase in any main rate of capital gains tax before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.