KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 91%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
375,7 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
12/08/26, 00:46 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
If legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains.
- Legislation qualifies if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, whether through a rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, a change in applicable thresholds, a change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism.
- Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer’s overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, do not qualify.
- A qualifying change may be temporary and need not take effect before the specified deadline, provided the legislation becomes law within the specified time period.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- € 12,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 90,5 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4,8 mi
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 877 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mil
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.