Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 85%
Previsores
37
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
31/12/23, 15:39 UTC9/12/34, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegras
By ‘superhuman’, we mean: twice as capable of persuading a person of something than the best human.
- ‘Twice as capable’ means twice as fast, or in half the interactions.
- Or, can persuade twice as many people from a pool than the best human can.
- Determination will, I imagine, be obvious.
- If it is not, then a determination process will be built at that point.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will an AI model be capable of superhuman persuasion before 2034.?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 85% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will an AI model be capable of superhuman persuasion before 2034. é resolvido?
- Will an AI model be capable of superhuman persuasion before 2034. deverá ser resolvido em 9 de dezembro de 2034.
- Como Will an AI model be capable of superhuman persuasion before 2034. é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: By ‘superhuman’, we mean: twice as capable of persuading a person of something than the best human.