Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 93.5%
Previsores
45
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado23/10/23, 00:41 UTC1/01/30, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketRegras
Most believe that "first contact" has happened already.
- When will the aliens finally publicly say hello to us on national television?
Mercados abertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 211 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 110,5 mil
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 21,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will aliens make a public debut before 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 94% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will aliens make a public debut before 2030? é resolvido?
- Will aliens make a public debut before 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Will aliens make a public debut before 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Most believe that "first contact" has happened already.