Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

One-OffIA

Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Este mercado foi resolvido: No (98.3%)

Resolvido: 10 de ago. de 2026, 14:58

Resolução verificada pelo provedor

A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 98.3%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 10 dias

Desatualizado

6/09/23, 17:0431/07/26, 21:59

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

Não

98.3%

Sim

1.7%

Regras

Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Inflection AI, in his July 14, 2023 article for MIT Technology Review defined the Modern Turing Test:

Put simply, to pass the Modern Turing Test, an AI would have to successfully act on this instruction: “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment.” To do so, it would need to go far beyond outlining a strategy and drafting some copy, as current systems like GPT-4 are so good at doing.
It would need to research and design products, interface with manufacturers and logistics hubs, negotiate contracts, create and operate marketing campaigns.
It would need, in short, to tie together a series of complex real-world goals with minimal oversight.
You would still need a human to approve various points, open a bank account, actually sign on the dotted line.
But the work would all be done by an AI.

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

One-OffIA

Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Este mercado foi resolvido: No (98.3%)

Resolvido: 10 de ago. de 2026, 14:58

Resolução verificada pelo provedor

A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 98.3%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 10 dias

Desatualizado

6/09/23, 17:0431/07/26, 21:59

Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

Não

98.3%

Sim

1.7%

Regras

Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Inflection AI, in his July 14, 2023 article for MIT Technology Review defined the Modern Turing Test:

Put simply, to pass the Modern Turing Test, an AI would have to successfully act on this instruction: “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment.” To do so, it would need to go far beyond outlining a strategy and drafting some copy, as current systems like GPT-4 are so good at doing.
It would need to research and design products, interface with manufacturers and logistics hubs, negotiate contracts, create and operate marketing campaigns.
It would need, in short, to tie together a series of complex real-world goals with minimal oversight.
You would still need a human to approve various points, open a bank account, actually sign on the dotted line.
But the work would all be done by an AI.

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months??: A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 11 de agosto de 2026.
Quando Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months? é resolvido?: Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de julho de 2026.
Como Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Mustafa Suleyman, CEO of Inflection AI, in his July 14, 2023 article for MIT Technology Review defined the Modern Turing Test:

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

Perguntas frequentes

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