Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 83% em 26 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035? é resolvido?

Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2035.

Como Will a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: YES = if a misaligned AI is the primary cause of death of at least 1% of the population (~81-85M deaths based on current projections) within any 12 month period that ends before 2035.

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JSON gratuito deste mercado, sem chave de API:

Agentes de IA: chame pm_data_event no servidor MCP da CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.8pt88.7%
• Anthropic+1.8pt10.3%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

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Volume total

€ 3,2 mi

Volume 24h

€ 138,1 mil

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt28%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.8pt22%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.2pt17%

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KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt94%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+5.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+8.0pt83%
• December 15,+9.0pt82%
• November 30,-2.0pt60%

+9 mais resultados

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+3.7pt55.5%
• Gemini-2.8pt31.9%
• ChatGPT-1.6pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt53.5%
• Google-3.0pt36.4%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.1%

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