KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem atividade de negociação
Dados de 17 de set. de 2026, 18:21 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027 0%Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
17/09/26, 00:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026?
PredictItWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
KalshiAI will kill everyone by mandating toxic vaccines
Manifold MarketsWill a rogue AI kill a human before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a misaligned AI kill 1% of the world population within any 12 month period before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying federal law must expressly authorize the U.S. government to initiate the shutdown, suspension, or technical disabling of an operating AI model or system to address safety or security risks or loss of control.
- The government may act directly or compel a developer, operator, or service provider to carry out the shutdown, including through a court order.
- A company-controlled kill switch alone does not qualify.
- Neither does authority limited to blocking future development or release, or a general power to regulate AI without authority to stop an operating system.
- The government need not own or physically operate the shutdown mechanism, and the authority need not be used before the deadline.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt76%
- New People (NL)-1.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)2%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 27,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 922,6 mil
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.6%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 191,3 mi
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+3.0pt89%
- Republican Party-3.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 27,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 627,1 mil
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
+48 mais resultados
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- July0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+4.0pt56.4%
- D-House, R-Senate31.7%
- Republicans sweep-3.0pt10.9%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Texas Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2027 em 0% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch? é resolvido?
- When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If federal legislation authorizing government-initiated AI shutdowns has become law after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.