Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (99%)
Resolvido: 1 de out. de 2026, 07:12
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de out. de 2026, 05:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes1%
No99%
Ganhou
Perdeu
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic officially releases a new model in the Claude Haiku family (such as "Claude Haiku 5.5" or any other newly designated "Haiku" model) on or before September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, "released" means the model is officially launched and made accessible to the public or developers (including in open beta) via at least one of the following channels:
- The Anthropic API / Claude Console (https://console.anthropic.com/)
- The consumer chat interface (https://claude.ai/)
