Will a military conflict break out between Russia and Kazakhstan in the next five years?
One-OffGeopolíticaRússia / Ucrânia11m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 83.7%
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18
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Atualizado há 38 minutos
4/10/22, 16:29 UTC11/10/27, 17:59 UTC
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I am living in Kazakhstan and have heard the belief expressed that Russia might try to take the northern parts of Kazakhstan (which contain large numbers of ethnic Russians).
- Resolved positively if Russia takes or attempts to take any part of what is now Kazakhstan or if a military conflict breaks out for any other reason.
- I made this about 3 years ago now so the final date is 2027.
- Not 5 years from now.
- On the closing date.
