Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.3%
Previsores
140
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
5/03/22, 21:21 UTC2/01/31, 04:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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This market resolves yes if on or before Jan 1st, 2031, a human has set foot on the Martian surface.
Mercados abertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 85,3 mil
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Volume total
- € 153,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 39,2 mil
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 409,9 mil
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030? é resolvido?
- Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2031.
- Como Will a human step foot on Mars by 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves yes if on or before Jan 1st, 2031, a human has set foot on the Martian surface.