KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Dec 11, 2026 95%Líder entre 5 opções
Before Dec 11, 2026 95%Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,1 mil €
Contratos em aberto
24,1 mil €
Contratos em aberto: altoSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
29/09/26, 15:30 UTC30/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 1h (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:SpaceX
- For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Dec 11, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Dec 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 27, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 13, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 30, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 16, 2026
- If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Before Dec 11, 2026 é de 95%. A dispersão entre plataformas é de cerca de 1 ponto percentual.
Referencia CoinRithm Before Dec 11, 2026 95% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Limitless — SpaceX Starship 15th launch? · Before Dec 11, 2026 94%