Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual40-49.99999 days 29.7%Líder entre 17 opções
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado16/02/26, 05:24 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsHow many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Shortest gap between any two launches - does NOT need to be same ship or booster.
- Short gaps in 2025 included January 16th to March 6th flights 7 and 8 with 49 day gap August 27th to October 14th flights 10 and 11 with 48 day gap
- If version 3 works well, manufacturing might speed up considerably and there might be reuse and even refuelling attempts but it isn't clear how fast pad 2 can be turned around if the ships and boosters are available.
- If it doesn't work well like version 2, then long delays are possible.
Mercados abertos
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- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Stortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota 40-49.99999 days em 30% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Stortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026 é resolvido?
- Stortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Stortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Shortest gap between any two launches - does NOT need to be same ship or booster.