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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Space
  3. How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

0.3% (24h)SpaceYearly6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
<5
<5 53%-4.0%
Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado

64 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

273,7 €

Liquidez

36,2 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

2.2% / 7.1%

Spread

222.7%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-0.3%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

12/12/25, 0:4531/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

<553%

KalshiTambém disponível em Kalshi

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?

5.0%6m
2
2
-5.0%2%
8
8
-4.0%1%
7
7
2%

+7 mais resultados

28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread amploBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total47,9 €
Volume 24h0,4 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regras

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
  • Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
  • However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
  • Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
  • However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.