PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual5-6 67%+7.5%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
745,4 €
Liquidez
16,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
63.0% / 70.0%
Spread
11.1%
Spread amploVariação 7d
+10.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
12/12/25, 0:4531/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
5-667%
Comparar plataformas· 5-6
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral90% de correspondência · auto | Média | 51% | -16pt | 861,9 € | 14,1 mil € | há 14 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Média | 67% | 0pt | 745,4 € | 16,2 mil € | há 14 minutos | |
| Kalshi80% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 88% | +21pt | 0 € | 2,3 mil € | há 14 minutos | Abrir → |
 Limitless94% de correspondência · auto | Baixa | 67% | 0pt | 0 € | 0 € | há 14 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de correspondência · verificado | — | 89% | +22pt | — | — | há 14 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Limitless
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5m
66.5%
19.3%
11.8%
+5 mais resultados
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total21,6 €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSTambém disponível em Kalshi
How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
1.0%5m
51%
18%
+2.0%16%
+7 mais resultados
52 • Qualidade médiaSpread amploLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total22,4 mil €
Volume 24h861,9 €
KALSHITambém disponível em Manifold Markets
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
5m
-1.8%89.2%
-1.9%60.9%
+1.5%27%
+5 mais resultados
Previsão da comunidade60 previsoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambém disponível em Kalshi
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
5m
88%
71%
38%
+7 mais resultados
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread moderadoLiquidez média
Volume total2,9 mil €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$8482 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
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This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.