PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
2027 16%-0.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
120,2 €
Liquidez
27,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
3
Variação 7d
-2.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
14/05/26, 17:47 UTC1/01/28, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will data center technicians still be necessary in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiWill there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).
- “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- € 241,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 128 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 mais resultados
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 349,4 mil
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de AI data center in space by which date??
- A Polymarket cota 2027 em 16% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando AI data center in space by which date? é resolvido?
- AI data center in space by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como AI data center in space by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Onde mais AI data center in space by which date? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets, Futuur.