Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 99%
Previsores
33
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado30/12/23, 03:59 UTC3/01/27, 06:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
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PolymarketRegras
See also: @/Alexf3a5/will-spacexs-starship-superheavy-la
- I will use the same criteria as that market: has a payload been delivered in a way that a customer would be happy with?
- Update 2025-07-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Based on the linked market's criteria, the creator has provided the following clarifications:
- For test flights with no payload, a launch is successful if it reaches its target trajectory or destination, disregarding later failures related to vehicle recovery.
- Under these terms, Starship Flight 3 is considered a success.
- The current count of successful launches is 4.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 mais resultados
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- € 1,1 mi
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- € 802,6 mil
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- € 736,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 585,6 mil
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
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- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
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- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
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- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: See also: @/Alexf3a5/will-spacexs-starship-superheavy-la