Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 04:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 98.5%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado15/02/25, 05:02 UTC31/12/26, 00:00 UTC
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Market resolves YES if a real banana is clearly visible anywhere on or inside a Starship during an official SpaceX broadcast of a Mars mission in 2026.
- Resolution will be based on live broadcast footage or official SpaceX media releases.
- https://www.space.com/spacex-starship-mars-launches-2026-elon-musk
- Update 2025-07-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the definition of 'real banana' includes dried banana.