Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 98.5%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado15/02/25, 05:02 UTC31/12/26, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? (No) → SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
Market resolves YES if a real banana is clearly visible anywhere on or inside a Starship during an official SpaceX broadcast of a Mars mission in 2026.
- Resolution will be based on live broadcast footage or official SpaceX media releases.
- https://www.space.com/spacex-starship-mars-launches-2026-elon-musk
- Update 2025-07-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the definition of 'real banana' includes dried banana.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+65.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-29.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-6.0pt1%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 622,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 579,5 mil
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+41.0pt99%
- Houston+62.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+4.0pt99%
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 411,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 411,6 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt33.3%
- 160-179+5.0pt28.6%
- 200-219-4.0pt15.2%
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mi
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt87.3%
- 65-89-10.0pt12.8%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Real banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Real banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026 é resolvido?
- Real banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Real banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Market resolves YES if a real banana is clearly visible anywhere on or inside a Starship during an official SpaceX broadcast of a Mars mission in 2026.