PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 63.4%
Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
3,9 €
Liquidez
763,8 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
34.0% / 39.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-2.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
12/11/25, 22:05 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
PolymarketWill China launch and operate a fully reusable spacecraft by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
KalshiStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiRegras
On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025.
- You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,1 mi
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+19.0pt57%
- 180-199-5.5pt35%
- 200-219-6.8pt5%
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 319,9 mil
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+7.0pt68.3%
- Before March 2027-3.0pt19.2%
- Before February 2027+2.0pt8.3%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
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- Volume total
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.6%
- Yes49.4%
- Volume total
- € 217,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 215,2 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027??
- A Polymarket cota No em 63% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? é resolvido?
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025.