PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 52%-16.5pt
Qualidade do mercado
37 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
4,3 €
Liquidez
1,7 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
20.0% / 84.0%
Spread
64.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
-17.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
10/06/26, 15:10 UTC1/01/28, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PolymarketWill China launch and operate a fully reusable spacecraft by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship 14th launch?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketWhen will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
KalshiRegras
On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025.
- You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.
Mercados abertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,1 mi
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+19.0pt57%
- 180-199-5.5pt35%
- 200-219-6.8pt5%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 319,9 mil
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+7.0pt68.3%
- Before March 2027-3.0pt19.2%
- Before February 2027+2.0pt8.3%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 mais resultados
- Volume total
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No50.6%
- Yes49.4%
- Volume total
- € 217,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 215,2 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028??
- A Polymarket cota Yes em 52% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? é resolvido?
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025.