Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualZ.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company) 77.8%+70.0ptLíder entre 9 opções
Previsores
51
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+70.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 25 minutos
21/08/26, 6:5228/08/26, 6:46
Tendências
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
Regras
“Ox Alpha,” an anonymous “stealth” model that appeared on OpenRouter earlier today (August 20, 2026).
- It’s a reasoning model positioned for coding, sustained agentic work, and production use, with a 1,048,576-token context window, a 131,072-token output cap, and text/image/video input — listed as stealth/ox-alpha on OpenRouter.
- It’s free during this preview window, with the operator claiming near-unlimited rate limits and 100 trillion tokens/day of serving capacity.
- There is some buzz on Twitter that it is frontier or even better at coding.
- See also: @/Sketchy/what-will-the-release-name-of-ox-al
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 158,8 mil
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 168,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 155,2 mil
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,9 mi
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who is behind Ox Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter??
- A Manifold Markets cota Z.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company) em 78% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Who is behind Ox Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? é resolvido?
- Who is behind Ox Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? deverá ser resolvido em 28 de agosto de 2026.
- Como Who is behind Ox Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: “Ox Alpha,” an anonymous “stealth” model that appeared on OpenRouter earlier today (August 20, 2026).