Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualVenezuela 95%Líder entre 73 opções
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58
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado12/03/24, 16:14 UTC1/01/40, 22:59 UTC
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Resolves the same way as https://www.metaculus.com/questions/17829/coup-detat-likelihood/, unless a country is not listed there, in which case it will be resolved according to the same criteria and in the same spirit.
- Copying the criteria from there:
- A coup d'etat is an event in which a state's military or other components of its power structure overthrow the existing political authority.
- Coups are often proceeded by political unrest/instability, and can often serve as a turning point in a nation's history.
- Wide speculation exists on the possibility of coups in various countries.
- Resolution Criteria
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota Venezuela em 95% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040? é resolvido?
- Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2040.
- Como Which of these nations will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves the same way as https://www.metaculus.com/questions/17829/coup-detat-likelihood/, unless a country is not listed there, in which case it will be resolved according to the same criteria and in the same spirit.