Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual2027 USAMO and MOP 72.8%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 horas
Desatualizado1/06/26, 18:02 UTC31/12/26, 18:56 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle?
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KalshiRegras
Resolves yes to any of these that I achieve.
- If I do not attend pumac, hmmt, cmimc, or arml, the corresponding questions will resolve N/A. previous results:
- Pumac 2025 17th NT, 17th Combo HMMT 2026 79th place, top 50 in algnt and combo CMIMC 2026 5th place geo, few points off of top 10 overall (176 vs 184) ARML 2026 7/10, 11 10 11 11 00 USAJMO 2026 qual (through protection) and mop 30/42
- i reserve the right to bet on this market (but of course i will try my hardest on each of these)
Mercados abertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 230,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 77,1 mil
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,6 mi
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 109,5 mil
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,9 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which of the following will I achieve??
- A Manifold Markets cota 2027 USAMO and MOP em 73% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which of the following will I achieve? é resolvido?
- Which of the following will I achieve? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Which of the following will I achieve? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves yes to any of these that I achieve.