Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualMalaysia 100%Líder entre 14 opções
Previsores
48
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+13.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado12/12/25, 02:21 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will at least 5 democratic countries other than Australia ban social media for kids under 16 by the end of 2026?
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KalshiRegras
Resolves YES iff a social media ban is introduced for at least some teenagers (anyone, but not necessarily everyone, ages 13-19) in the relevant country by December 31st, 2026.
- The ban must encompass at least two social media sites.
- The ban must become law by EOY 2026 (not just announced).
- For this market, partial restrictions (e.g. limits on smartphone screen time or curfews) do not suffice.
- I am far from an expert in the current laws and restrictions in each of these countries, so there may be some edge cases.
- If there is a dispute, I will attempt to rule in the spirit of the question - whether there are new laws that a reasonable person would describe as a social media ban.
