Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualMalaysia 100%Líder entre 13 opções
Previsores
46
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado12/12/25, 02:21 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
100%
100%
Regras
Resolves YES iff a social media ban is introduced for at least some teenagers (anyone, but not necessarily everyone, ages 13-19) in the relevant country by December 31st, 2026.
- The ban must encompass at least two social media sites.
- The ban must become law by EOY 2026 (not just announced).
- For this market, partial restrictions (e.g. limits on smartphone screen time or curfews) do not suffice.
- I am far from an expert in the current laws and restrictions in each of these countries, so there may be some edge cases.
- If there is a dispute, I will attempt to rule in the spirit of the question - whether there are new laws that a reasonable person would describe as a social media ban.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which countries will ban social media for teens by EOY 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Malaysia em 100% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which countries will ban social media for teens by EOY 2026? é resolvido?
- Which countries will ban social media for teens by EOY 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Which countries will ban social media for teens by EOY 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES iff a social media ban is introduced for at least some teenagers (anyone, but not necessarily everyone, ages 13-19) in the relevant country by December 31st, 2026.