Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualOther 79%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
103
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado3/10/23, 01:15 UTC2/01/27, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a new social media platform surpassing Instagram before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a major social media platform allow users to hide AI-generated content in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiRegras
Popularity determined by some form of "active users". e.g. users who have made at least 1 post in the past year.
- The exact metric will be determined by what sites choose to report and what can reasonably be estimated.
- If a site is renamed, this resolves to the old name.
- If two sites merge, this resolves to the name of the new one if it kept an old name, or to the one that was bigger prior to the merge if not.
- If you'd like a new site added, ask me and I'll add it.
- (You'll need to managram me M$25.)
