Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026?
One-OffTecnologia3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 97.6%
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Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado10/03/25, 13:58 UTC31/12/26, 00:00 UTC
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FutuurRegras
After extensive discussions and no consensus among Wikipedians, a 6-month moratorium on move requests for the "Twitter" article was imposed; that moratorium expires March 30, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if on December 31, 2026 at 23:59 PST (UTC-8), the English-language Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirects to the "Twitter" article.
- Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
- If Wikipedia ceases to exist by the end date, the market resolves N/A. The redirect change must remain in place for at least 14 consecutive days and not be a temporary change due to vandalism, testing, or technical errors.
- The market will resolve by January 14, 2027 at the latest, but could resolve at the end of 2026 if qualifying changes occur earlier.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will the Wikipedia article "X (social media platform)" no longer redirect to "Twitter" on December 31, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: After extensive discussions and no consensus among Wikipedians, a 6-month moratorium on move requests for the "Twitter" article was imposed; that moratorium expires March 30, 2025.