Previsão da comunidade atual
OpenAI 38.1%+18.1ptLíder entre 5 opções
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+18.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
8/09/26, 22:36 UTC31/12/34, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which AI lab's model will be the first to solve a Millennium Problem?
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves to the company whose AI model is credited with doing the majority of the work in the first solution to any of the unsolved Millennium Prize Problems besides Navier–Stokes.
- Resolves on Clay Institute announcement or earlier on broad expert consensus that the proof is correct.
- Resolves N/A if no AI-led solution by end of 2034.
- If a claimed solution is under serious review at close, the market will be extended until it's confirmed or rejected.
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
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- Volume total
- € 241,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 128 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
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- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 mais resultados
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KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
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KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
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- Volume total
- € 349,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Which AI lab's model will be first to solve a Millennium Problem besides Navier–Stokes??
- A Manifold Markets cota OpenAI em 38% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Which AI lab's model will be first to solve a Millennium Problem besides Navier–Stokes? é resolvido?
- Which AI lab's model will be first to solve a Millennium Problem besides Navier–Stokes? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2034.
- Como Which AI lab's model will be first to solve a Millennium Problem besides Navier–Stokes? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves to the company whose AI model is credited with doing the majority of the work in the first solution to any of the unsolved Millennium Prize Problems besides Navier–Stokes.