Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 16 de jul. de 2026, 02:10 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Previsão da comunidade atual
Before Trump serves time in prison 98.4%Líder entre 25 opções
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 dias
Desatualizado7/04/24, 21:501/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Before the end of Jan 20251%
Tendência de volume
$51015 de jul.2d de dados16 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
935,2 €Sim: 42%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many years between AI winning IMO and Putnam?
740,7 €Putnam first: 11.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a new FrontierMath Open Problem be solved by AI before August 2026?
394,8 €Sim: 94.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
133,4 €Sim: 57%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
30,9 mil €Before 2027: 7%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
10,9 mil €Sim: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
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Resolution criteria same as this polymarket market, except the deadline is different here
- https://polymarket.com/event/will-an-ai-win-the-5-million-ai-math-olympiad-prize-before-august