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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]
Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026)
At close, what % of the Manifold users will think that GiveWell's work before 2023 was net positive? Resolves in 100 years, but has .1% chance to resolve each year. Vote Yes to increase %.
At the end of 2030 will Manifold users think Wikipedia has changed for the better compared to 2020?
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
What happens first: AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes or All Millennium Prize Problems Solved?
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https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/manifold/when-manifolds-agi-countdown-resolvAgentes de IA: chame pm_data_event no servidor MCP da CoinRithm:
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