Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 16:20 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 79.6%
Previsores
43
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado8/01/26, 20:51 UTC18/09/28, 19:50 UTC
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People are divided over whether the footage shows him actually being impacted by her car, or only nearly impacted.
- Resolves YES on confirmation from a reliable source that he was injured, NO on confirmation from a reliable source that he was not.
- Since "reliable source" may be subjective, I will not bet on this market.
- Update 2026-01-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Definition of "injured": A scrape or bruise from vehicle impact would be sufficient for YES resolution.
- However, the market will resolve NO if very clear reliable sources confirm he was not injured, even if there's speculation about unreported minor injuries.
