Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87.5%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado4/01/25, 19:50 UTC21/01/29, 00:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market resolves YES if there is a direct military engagement between the armed forces of the United States and Mexico before January 20, 2029.
- Resolution criteria:
- Must involve official government forces (ex. uniformed military, national guard, or police acting in an official capacity, not private militias or individuals)
- Must include exchange of fire or direct combat operations
- Must result in the creation of a wikipedia page, with a table indicating at least 10 total casualties or losses and with the USA and Mexico as belligerents on opposing sides, and that page must remain up for at least a week.
- (ex. this page)
