Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 54.7%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado29/06/26, 13:14 UTC30/07/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketWhat will Tyler Robinson be convicted of?
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PolymarketWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
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Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketRegras
Tyler Robinson is accused of killing Charlie Kirk in September of 2025.
- If Robinson is convicted of any homicide or murder charge in the ongoing case versus the state of Utah, then this will be resolved as yes.
- Conversely, if a plea deal is reached or if the relevant charges are dropped, then it will resolve as a "no".
- If a mistrial is declared, then the question will still be active until the deadline.
- Appeals and other motions will not be considered.
- The actual verdict issued by the court will be the final say.
Mercados abertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume total
- € 347,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,4 mil
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- € 9,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,8 mil
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- € 498,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,1 mil
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 55% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027? é resolvido?
- Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de julho de 2027.
- Como Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Tyler Robinson is accused of killing Charlie Kirk in September of 2025.