This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030
One-OffTecnologiaBusiness & Corporate3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 98.9%
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157
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado8/04/22, 16:06 UTC2/01/30, 04:59 UTC
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This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2030.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, you can bet the first M$20 for free.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 99% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030 é resolvido?
- This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2030.