This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030
One-OffTecnologiaNegócios e empresas3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 98.9%
Previsores
157
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado8/04/22, 16:06 UTC2/01/30, 04:59 UTC
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This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2030.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, you can bet the first M$20 for free.