Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 99%
Previsores
33
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado1/10/22, 06:06 UTC2/01/28, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2027
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Manifold MarketsUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2028.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, the half-life of the cost to invest here is about a month
Mercados abertos
SoccerPOLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 24,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,7 mi
KALSHIArizona vs Kansas City
- Arizona+3.0pt51.9%
- Kansas City+1.0pt48.1%
- Volume total
- € 867,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 836,5 mil
KALSHIIndepend. Santa Fe vs Vasco da Gama
- Tie+69.0pt98%
- Independ. Santa Fe-43.0pt1%
- Vasco da Gama-25.0pt1%
- Volume total
KALSHIFluminense vs Platense
- Fluminense+37.0pt98%
- Platense-11.0pt1%
- Tie-23.0pt1%
- Volume total
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume total
- € 514,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 496,9 mil
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.9pt61.8%
- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+1.9pt11.8%
+28 mais resultados
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals
- Fluminense vs Platense: Total Goals
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- Arizona vs Kansas City: Home Runs
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord
- Napoli vs Arsenal
- Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
- FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Champions League Winner
- Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo
- PSG vs Slovan Bratislava
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028 é resolvido?
- This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2028.
- Como This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2028.