Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 99%
Previsores
35
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado1/10/22, 15:22 UTC2/01/29, 04:59 UTC
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This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2029.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, the half-life of the cost to invest here is about a month
- Close date updated to 2029-01-01 11:59 pm
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 99% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029 é resolvido?
- This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029 deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2029 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2029.