This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2027
One-OffTecnologiaNegócios e empresas2mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 10:23 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 99.3%
Previsores
99
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado8/04/22, 16:05 UTC2/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
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This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2027.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, you can bet the first M$20 for free.
