If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

PolíticaOne-OffEurope Eleição1a

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Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 97.8%

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Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

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Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 14 horas

Desatualizado

4/06/24, 16:21 UTC1/01/28, 23:59 UTC

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Regras

N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.

Reportar um problema de dados deste mercado

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

PolíticaOne-OffEurope Eleição1a

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 97.8%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 14 horas

Desatualizado

4/06/24, 16:21 UTC1/01/28, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Mercados Relacionados

Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.

Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?

Manifold Markets

2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will UK aid be at or above the 0.6% of GNI by the end of the Parliament?

Manifold Markets

2x2: Will Labour get majority, will fossil fuels (without imports) compose >33% of UK energy gen next Parliament?

Manifold Markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Kalshi

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Kalshi

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Polymarket

Regras

N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

Subject to no N/A, it’s “yes” if Starmer is PM on 1st January 2028 and “no” otherwise.

Reportar um problema de dados deste mercado

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028??: A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
Quando If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028? é resolvido?: If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2028.
Como If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028? é liquidado?: A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: N/A if Labour do not win at least half the seats in the 2024 GE.

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

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