Probabilidade implícita atual
Magdalena Andersson 71%Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
24 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
98 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
71.0% / 77.0%
Spread
8.4%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 minutos
8/07/26, 0:001/01/28, 15:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Magdalena Andersson71%
Tendência de volume
$118 de jul.4d de dados13 de jul.
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If Magdalena Andersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
- If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- If Ulf Kristersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jimmie Åkesson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.