SOAI#4: A deepfake/agent-driven cyber attack triggers the first NATO/UN emergency debate on AI security
GeopolíticaOne-OffEuropaIA
Manifold MarketsFechadoSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No (94.7%)
Resolvido: 11 de out. de 2026, 21:45
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 12 de out. de 2026, 12:02 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes5.3%
No94.7%
Ganhou
Perdeu
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This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #4: A deepfake/agent-driven cyber attack triggers the first NATO/UN emergency debate on AI security.
- If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.