Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 89.2%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado4/05/26, 02:50 UTC2/01/30, 03:48 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Sam Altman is incarcerated in a correctional facility due to a criminal conviction by the resolution date. "Incarcerated" is defined as being held in a jail or prison following a sentence or remand.
- If he is not imprisoned, or if charges are dismissed, dropped, or result in a non-custodial sentence (such as probation or fines only), the market resolves to "No."
- Reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg, The New York Times) confirming the imprisonment will serve as the source of truth for resolution.
- Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI.
- This market tracks public information regarding his legal status.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030 é resolvido?
- Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria