If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
Política dos EUAOne-OffCrime e justiça3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 71.7%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado15/08/23, 15:53 UTC2/01/30, 04:59 UTC
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Resolves N/A if Trump never goes to prison or is under house arrest post-conviction.
- Resolves NO if Trump serves prison time post-conviction.
- Resolves YES if Trump serves house arrest post-conviciton but NOT prison time.
- This is meant to tease apart the differences between markets like the following: https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned
- https://manifold.markets/Duncan/will-trump-spend-any-time-in-prison
- https://manifold.markets/cy/will-donald-trump-serve-any-prison
