If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 71.7%
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20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado15/08/23, 15:53 UTC2/01/30, 04:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Resolves N/A if Trump never goes to prison or is under house arrest post-conviction.
- Resolves NO if Trump serves prison time post-conviction.
- Resolves YES if Trump serves house arrest post-conviciton but NOT prison time.
- This is meant to tease apart the differences between markets like the following: https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned
- https://manifold.markets/Duncan/will-trump-spend-any-time-in-prison
- https://manifold.markets/cy/will-donald-trump-serve-any-prison
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 72% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time? é resolvido?
- If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves N/A if Trump never goes to prison or is under house arrest post-conviction.