Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore 2031 87.7%Líder entre 8 opções
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado17/03/24, 17:06 UTC2/01/30, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
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FutuurBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegras
[image]96% -> 0% -> 80% -> 5% -> 95%
- If anything as bad happens on a pretty liquid market, where the probability jumps this much from similar extremes over many days, all remaining options resolve YES.
- If it hasn't happened by an option's date, resolves NO for that option.
- If ambiguous, it will resolve according to the judgment of a small group of mods, or similar.
- Detailed criteria: (Up to change before the end of march) - 70%+ swings - 4+ times - The swings' high and low points are quantified using the most extreme average over 3 hours.
- If from 1 to 4 pm it's at 74% on avg, and then from 4 to 8pm it's at 76% on avg, and then it crashes to 1%, it counts as the high being 76%. - the high and low points of the swings must get 5+ traders to count, non-withstanding obvious market manipulation of this market. - the market must have a total of 100+ traders at the end of the swings - the market's swinging option must have at least 1000M in liquidity
Mercados abertos
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka83%
- Linda Noskova17%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 2,9 mi
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Fcerablo
- ABLO+10.0pt72.5%
- FCER-14.0pt27.6%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,9 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Wtamatch WUSO 26 Nosaeryb
- ERYB+27.0pt81.2%
- NOSA-26.0pt18.8%
- Volume total
- € 1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mi
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
- 70,000+0.4pt100%
- 72,000+0.6pt100%
+8 mais resultados
- BTC 15 min · $78,497.72 target
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ageabvan
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Kkhaltie
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Ijovcgau
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Azveldar
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How high will BTC get in September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de When will Manifold repeat this Sam Altman CEO market mistake??
- A Manifold Markets cota Before 2031 em 88% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando When will Manifold repeat this Sam Altman CEO market mistake? é resolvido?
- When will Manifold repeat this Sam Altman CEO market mistake? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como When will Manifold repeat this Sam Altman CEO market mistake? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: [image]96% -> 0% -> 80% -> 5% -> 95%