Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNo change 80%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado16/05/26, 06:06 UTC3/11/26, 03:25 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the September 29, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExReserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
KalshiReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September?
Manifold MarketsWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25 bps at the September 29, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the official decision on the cash rate target announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) following its monetary policy meeting in November 2026.
- Increase: Resolves to this if the RBA announces an increase in the cash rate target.
- the named outcome: Resolves to this if the RBA announces that the cash rate target will remain at its current level.
- Decrease: Resolves to this if the RBA announces a decrease in the cash rate target.
- The resolution will be based on the official Media Release published on the Reserve Bank of Australia website.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 77,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,5 mil
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November??
- A Manifold Markets cota No change em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November? é resolvido?
- Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria