Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 09:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNo change 77.2%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado16/05/26, 06:06 UTC3/11/26, 03:25 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November
KalshiReserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
PolymarketWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia raise the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExWill the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExSouth African Reserve Bank Decision in November?
PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the official decision on the cash rate target announced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) following its monetary policy meeting in November 2026.
- Increase: Resolves to this if the RBA announces an increase in the cash rate target.
- the named outcome: Resolves to this if the RBA announces that the cash rate target will remain at its current level.
- Decrease: Resolves to this if the RBA announces a decrease in the cash rate target.
- The resolution will be based on the official Media Release published on the Reserve Bank of Australia website.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November · 25 bps increase 69%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November · Hike 1-25bps 65%