Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 53.7%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado5/11/25, 14:41 UTC31/12/99, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves yes if anyone intentionally uses a nuclear bomb/missile on someone else.
- Reactor meltdowns and other mistakes do not count, even if they are intentionally orchestrated.
- A weapon that is launched with the intent to explode counts regardless of whether it lands or is defended.
- Resolves based on credible news outlets or government statements.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Nuclear weapon used offensively before 2100??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 54% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Nuclear weapon used offensively before 2100? é resolvido?
- Nuclear weapon used offensively before 2100? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2099.
- Como Nuclear weapon used offensively before 2100? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves yes if anyone intentionally uses a nuclear bomb/missile on someone else.