Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual79-81 seconds to midnight 32.6%Líder entre 7 opções
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado27/01/26, 16:57 UTC31/01/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
What time at midnight will the Doomsday clock will be in 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRegras
The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists just updated the Doomsday Clock to 85 seconds to midnight.
- What will the 2027 update be, if any? Recent updates, per Wikipedia, have been:
- 150 seconds in 2017
- 120 seconds in 2018
- 100 seconds in 2020
- 90 seconds in 2023
Mercados abertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+1.1pt99%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 860,6 mil
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 mais resultados
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- € 58,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 326 mil
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.4pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt35%
- September 30-1.0pt8%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+2.0pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt4%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+0.7pt97%
- September 25+2.0pt88%
- September 23+7.0pt76%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Next Update to the Doomsday Clock?
- A Manifold Markets cota 79-81 seconds to midnight em 33% em 20 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Next Update to the Doomsday Clock é resolvido?
- Next Update to the Doomsday Clock deverá ser resolvido em 31 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Next Update to the Doomsday Clock é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists just updated the Doomsday Clock to 85 seconds to midnight.