Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 29 de out. de 2026, 13:06 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 90.5%
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado ontem
Desatualizado28/06/25, 11:03 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
ZK tool for demonstrating one has proved math theorem (in Lean) created by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill artificial life be created in the lab before alien life is discovered?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiRegras
This market resolves YES if by December 31, 2030 at 11:59 PM UTC, researchers publicly announce and credibly demonstrate the creation of a mirror life form—a synthetic organism that uses the opposite chirality (mirror-image versions) of fundamental biological molecules (e.g., L-amino acids replaced with D-amino acids, and D-sugars replaced with L-sugars) in at least one complete biochemical system, including:
- Genome replication,
- Transcription and translation,
- Energy metabolism,
- Cell membrane formation.
- The created organism must be capable of autonomous replication, at least in controlled laboratory conditions, and demonstrably not reliant on conventional (non-mirrored) life to function or replicate.