Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 90.5%
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado28/06/25, 11:03 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
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KalshiRegras
This market resolves YES if by December 31, 2030 at 11:59 PM UTC, researchers publicly announce and credibly demonstrate the creation of a mirror life form—a synthetic organism that uses the opposite chirality (mirror-image versions) of fundamental biological molecules (e.g., L-amino acids replaced with D-amino acids, and D-sugars replaced with L-sugars) in at least one complete biochemical system, including:
- Genome replication,
- Transcription and translation,
- Energy metabolism,
- Cell membrane formation.
- The created organism must be capable of autonomous replication, at least in controlled laboratory conditions, and demonstrably not reliant on conventional (non-mirrored) life to function or replicate.
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Mirror life created by EOY2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Mirror life created by EOY2030? é resolvido?
- Mirror life created by EOY2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Mirror life created by EOY2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if by December 31, 2030 at 11:59 PM UTC, researchers publicly announce and credibly demonstrate the creation of a mirror life form—a synthetic organism that uses the opposite chirality (mirror-image versions) of fundamental biological molecules (e.g., L-amino acids replaced with D-amino acids, and D-sugars replaced with L-sugars) in at least one complete biochemical system, including: