[Metaculus] Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
GeopolíticaOne-OffChina3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 92.9%
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Atualizado há 20 minutos
20/06/24, 07:27 UTC2/01/30, 01:00 UTC
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Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/22790/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if, at any point before 2030, the People's Liberation Army has been deployed to another country without that country's permission, resulting in the military occupation of a material amount of that country's territory by the PLA.
- Otherwise this question will resolve as No. For the purposes of this question the Republic of China/Taiwan will not be considered, even if it becomes a UN member state.
