Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 07:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 65.4%
Previsores
15
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 horas
Desatualizado1/09/25, 21:46 UTC1/09/75, 21:26 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Are the most influential results in string theory already produced in the past, or are there bigger discoveries to come?
- This market resolves to "Yes", if the most cited paper in string theory on 2075-09-01 is already present today (2025-09-01).
- Otherwise it resolves to "No".
- Only papers reporting original results will be considered.
- Review papers are excluded.
- By trading in this market, you agree to let me be the judge for subjective matters associated with this market (e.g., whether a paper is in string theory).