@iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI do you agree with this claim?
IAOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 81.5%
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado2/09/25, 17:01 UTC1/01/30, 17:00 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
PolymarketOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegras
@iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI
- https://x.com/iruletheworldmo/status/1961148209276813322?t=B3vzxyh4Vj3uK82o7Lbokg&s=19
- do you agree with this claim?
- the market resolves to yes if openai publicily hints at achieving AGI before the end of 2025
Mercados abertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- € 224,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 160,5 mil
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 344,9 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de @iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI do you agree with this claim??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 82% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando @iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI do you agree with this claim? é resolvido?
- @iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI do you agree with this claim? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2030.
- Como @iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI do you agree with this claim? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: @iruletheworlmo (user on X) recently claimed that openai has achieved AGI