Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 55.4%
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Desatualizado31/05/25, 21:28 UTC1/01/50, 00:00 UTC
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The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is currently deliberating on the case brought by The Gambia against Myanmar, alleging genocide against the Rohingya people.
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the ICJ issues a ruling determining that Myanmar committed genocide against the Rohingya, and "No" otherwise.
- In order for this question to resolve yes, the ICJ needs to rule that Myanmar committed genocide.
- A ruling that Myanmar breached the Genocide Convention or even that its forces committed acts of genocide (as in the Croatia vs Serbia) does not count.
- See this market https://manifold.markets/nathanwei/will-the-icj-determine-that-myanmar?play=true on whether Myanmar violated the Genocide Convention.