Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85.4%
Previsores
23
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado27/09/26, 03:32 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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Regras
Resolves yes if there is one public execution held with a guillotine by 2030 with video evidence.
- Update 2026-09-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The execution must meet the following criteria:
- Can occur anywhere in the world.
- Must be a judicial action.
- Must be held in public and ceremonially by a domestic actor for a domestic audience.
- Snuff films and ISIS-style videos do not count.
